This paper will encompass findings on conflict’s role in exacerbating degradation within Afghanistan. Analysis will draw on existing literature existing datasets (see ICIMOD’s SERVIR project and World Bank Climate Portal) to ascertain conflict’s past and potential future role in driving environmental degradation. This analysis will be leveraged to derive analysis and identify impactful opportunities for Afghanaid to implement conflict dynamics into its operations. Through this, they can optimize their mastery in disaster risk reduction and bolstering regional resilience through more efficient policy and greater procurement of funding.
Context of Conflict in Afghanistan and Environmental Degradation within Afghanistan:
– Brief synopsis of conflict’s presence in Afghanistan’s history
– Summary of regional trends focusing on various environmental sectors ( within the Northern and Panj-Amu river basins and the shifts in stability within these areas
– Do both of the points above using relevant literature and available data (initial list of sources provided below)
Concise Consolidation and In-Depth Analysis of Literature and Relevant Supplementary Data Focusing on Conflict’s Role in Environmental Degradation and Resilience in Afghanistan:
– Understanding of Conflicts Responsibility for Environmental Degradation
– Anticipating Likely Scenarios and Necessary Adaptations Focused on Environment Degradation and Resilience for Future Shifts in Conflict (ex. Taliban, Rival Tribes, Afghanistan vs. Geographical neighbors)
Compounded Risks:
– Recent and Present links between climate change, fragility and security (including conflict’s drain on available bandwidth towards climate change)
– Analysis on the dynamic nature of these links’ roots in environmental degradation
– Analysis of climate change’s effect on conflict
– Anatomize the Socio-ecological Trap that has Inhibited Afghanistan’s Development and Resilience Capacity
Lessons Learned and Policy Recommendations:
– Overview of the lack of trust and cooperation, its stagnation implications for policy and operations, and key to sustainable community-based growth in resilience from the inside out
– Next steps for capturing environmental opportunities for development
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